Cyclone Melissa Intensifies While Heads Toward Jamaica
Tropical Storm the storm is forecast to strengthen into a uncommon highest-level storm as it shifts towards the Caribbean island, delivering dangerous flash flooding and landslides.
The hurricane, which registered winds of up to 195 km/h as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is currently turning north-west in the Caribbean and is anticipated to reach land by midweek, as reported by meteorological authorities.
Alerts of electricity outages and disruption to utilities have been announced as Melissa produces up to 76cm of rain and coastal flooding as high as thirteen feet above typical tides. "Find safe refuge immediately," residents have been advised.
This hurricane is the thirteenth storm in the current Atlantic hurricane season, which typically ends in November.
Highest-Level Storm Threat
A category five hurricane is the strongest type, with sustained winds of at least 157mph.
While this storm is expected to diminish in strength to a fourth-level cyclone before making landfall on the island, authorities said there was "minimal real distinction in the total effects" upon landfall, and that the storm will be "equally strong" when it hits the island.
Critical Readiness Measures
With storm-force winds and rain anticipated well in advance well before it moves across Jamaica's central region - perhaps encompassing the national capital - alerts emphasize that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and intense precipitation has started and will cause severe and deadly rapid water accumulation and multiple mudslides," counseled meteorological officials.
The country's head of government the official stated: "I realize that there are numerous residents who are anxious, who are deeply troubled, and with good reason: concern is justified.
"But the best way to address nervousness and any apprehension and anxiety is to stay ready."
Locals are being instructed to fortify their houses with sandbags and plywood sheets, and to accumulate basic necessities.
Regional Consequences
Advisories are also ongoing for parts of Haiti such as the capital, Port au Prince, the neighboring country and the eastern part of Cuba, where Melissa is projected to bring similar effects by the midweek period.
Rock slides presently generated by the storm have caused two deaths in the country, according to emergency services.
Future Trajectory
This weather system is projected to pass over the island nation by midweek before traveling via the Antillas Mayores and out into the Atlantic Ocean.
By the time it arrives at the Caribbean nation, it is predicted to have diminished to a third-level storm.
Environmental Background
Even though it is difficult to connect particular meteorological occurrences to climate change, researchers say it is resulting in weather phenomena more common and more severe.
Increased sea temperatures create greater water vapor in the environment, contributing to the formation of tropical cyclones.
Ahead of the beginning of the current Caribbean cyclone season, weather organizations projected increased storm frequency, mentioning elevated ocean temperatures and possible more intense weather patterns around West Africa - where tropical systems typically originate.